Volatility

Going Long Volatility
December 09, 2016
Volatility

Going Long Volatility

Alan Grigoletto

No on can accurately predict whether the worst is over or just pausing before stocks make another dramatic move lower. The Long Straddle can be used to take advantage in either outcome. The Long Straddle is composed of a long call option and a long put option. Both options are at the closest At-The-Money-strike (ATM) of the...

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3 months ago
Playing the US Election
November 07, 2016
Trading Idea

Playing the US Election

Richard Croft

The US equity markets are re-setting some old records. At the close of trading last week, the S&P 500 composite index and the Dow Jones Industrial Average did something had declined for nine straight sessions. The last time we saw this measure of consistent bearishness was in December 1980 just before Ronald Reagan took...

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4 months ago
Is Volatility Gone… or Just Forgotten?
September 26, 2016
Volatility

Is Volatility Gone… or Just Forgotten?

Richard Croft

In an environment where we see sluggish growth among industrialized countries, global deflation, weak oil prices, political indecision in the US and negative interest rates, one could argue we are living in the worst of times. Add to that mix company specific events like missed earnings and questionable government regulation...

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5 months ago
The Doubling Strategy
August 29, 2016
Stock Options

The Doubling Strategy

Richard Croft

This week, rather than looking at short term trading opportunities, we will examine a longer term strategy that is not dependent on a directional bet for the underlying stock. What it comes down to is positioning. Is this a stock you would be willing to hold longer term, what role will it play in your portfolio (i.e. risk...

544
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6 months ago
Gold versus Gold Stocks
June 20, 2016
Bullish Outlook

Gold versus Gold Stocks

Richard Croft

Gold has been on a tear recently. Not because of any real change in supply demand metrics. This is all about defensive positioning against a perceived devaluation of paper currency. In short gold bulls are playing the crisis insurance card… again! I am not about to tell you to buy gold. I’ve talked about it in the past but...

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8 months ago
Betting on A Volatile Finish to the Year
June 01, 2016
Volatility

Betting on A Volatile Finish to the Year

Patrick Ceresna

There has been no shortage of volatility in the Canadian stock markets over that last year. It was April of 2015 that saw the S&P/TSX60 top at the 905.00 level and usher in a 9-month bear market decline that wiped out 25% of the value of the TSX down to the 680.00 level in January 2016. Over the last 4 months, the...

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9 months ago
Gold Covered Straddles
May 09, 2016
Bullish Outlook

Gold Covered Straddles

Richard Croft

I talked about gold… reluctantly, back in February. I also read with interest comments from Patrick Ceresna who, also in February, penned a two-part thesis on why gold should move higher. And Patrick provided some strategies for investors to take advantage of his bull case which, I might add, have paid off handsomely. I also...

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10 months ago
Evaluating Earnings Variability
May 03, 2016
Earnings

Evaluating Earnings Variability

Richard Croft

We often hear about the expected movement in a stocks’ share price based on an upcoming earnings release. Calculated as an implied trading range by reverse engineering the option pricing formula. Traders typically use some version of the Black Scholes option pricing model to calculate the theoretical fair value for a call and...

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10 months ago
Tales from a Reluctant Gold Bull
February 29, 2016
Volatility

Tales from a Reluctant Gold Bull

Richard Croft

In an effort to provide full disclosure I am not now nor have I ever been a raging gold bull. I am not convinced that gold provides crisis insurance or any kind of hedge against economic Armageddon. Personally if the global economy collapses under the weight of a currency crisis (note: the collapse of paper currency is the...

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12 months ago
Markets Down… Volatility Up!
February 01, 2016
Bearish Outlook

Markets Down… Volatility Up!

Richard Croft

Worst start for equity markets since 2008! With more to come if you believe the prevailing view on Bay and Wall Street. Simply not enough “blood in the streets” according to the bears. Which itself is an interesting take since no one can provide clarity as to why markets had such a terrible start to the year. Aside from the...

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1 year ago